Navy
W-L: (22- 9) PR = 94.0791Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 A Delaware CUSA (12-19, 93.3) 68-61 1112 A Longwood BSO (20- 9, 93.5) 74-66 1116 A Florida SEC (18-15, 95.8) 69-54 1119 A Rider MAAC ( 7-21, 91.3) 67-56 1123 H Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 56-69 1129 A Manhattan MAAC (12-20, 92.2) 59-52 1130 H Duquesne A10 (10-20, 93.3) 67-69 1204 H Radford BSO (23-13, 93.5) 84-97 1207 H Iona MAAC (21-12, 92.8) 61-67 1221 H So Florida AME (20-12, 95.4) 74-86 1231 A Boston Univ PAT (12-20, 92.6) 77-64 103 H Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 55-66 107 A Bucknell PAT (10-20, 92.4) 77-51 110 A Lafayette PAT L (12-18, 92.5) 97-58 114 A American PAT ( 7-24, 92.0) 86-68 114 A American PAT ( 7-24, 92.0) 86-68 121 A Holy Cross PAT H (23-11, 94.1) 72-58 124 A Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 60-44 128 A Boston Univ PAT (12-20, 92.6) 57-47 131 A Loyola-MD PAT L (13-18, 92.8) 68-62 204 A Lafayette PAT L (12-18, 92.5) 62-46 207 A American PAT ( 7-24, 92.0) 86-58 211 A Bucknell PAT (10-20, 92.4) 66-43 214 A Colgate PAT ( 6-25, 91.9) 66-38 218 H Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 64-75 221 A Army PAT (26- 7, 94.4) 54-51 228 A Colgate PAT ( 6-25, 91.9) 73-63 304 A Loyola-MD PAT L (13-18, 92.8) 72-50 309 A Boston Univ PAT (12-20, 92.6) 76-66 312 H Lehigh PAT L (17-16, 93.4) 76-81 319 H Harvard IVY (20-12, 95.2) 52-73
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A Delaware 68-61 7 1 1.19
1112 A Longwood 74-66 8 1 1.46
1116 A Florida 69-54 15 -2 + 3.72
1119 A Rider 67-56 11 3 0.00
1123 H Richmond 56-69 -13 -2 -0.16
1129 A Manhattan 59-52 7 2 0.13
1130 H Duquesne 67-69 -2 1 - -2.76
1204 H Radford 84-97 -13 1 - -2.61
1207 H Iona 61-67 -6 1 - -3.26
1221 H So Florida 74-86 -12 -1 -0.66
1231 A Boston Univ 77-64 13 2 0.49
103 H Holy Cross 55-66 -11 0 -1.99
107 A Bucknell 77-51 26 2 0.34
110 A Lafayette 97-58 39 2 0.46
114 A American 86-68 18 2 0.00
114 A American 86-68 18 2 0.00
121 A Holy Cross 72-58 14 0 + 2.03
124 A Army 60-44 16 0 + 2.36
128 A Boston Univ 57-47 10 2 0.49
131 A Loyola-MD 68-62 6 1 0.70
204 A Lafayette 62-46 16 2 0.46
207 A American 86-58 28 2 0.00
211 A Bucknell 66-43 23 2 0.34
214 A Colgate 66-38 28 2 0.00
218 H Lehigh 64-75 -11 1 - -2.68
221 A Army 54-51 3 0 + 2.36
228 A Colgate 73-63 10 2 0.00
304 A Loyola-MD 72-50 22 1 0.70
309 A Boston Univ 76-66 10 2 0.49
312 H Lehigh 76-81 -5 1 - -2.68
319 H Harvard 52-73 -21 -1 -0.92
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1130 H Duquesne 67-69 -2 1 - -2.76 1204 H Radford 84-97 -13 1 - -2.61 1207 H Iona 61-67 -6 1 - -3.26 218 H Lehigh 64-75 -11 1 - -2.68 312 H Lehigh 76-81 -5 1 - -2.68 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1116 A Florida 69-54 15 -2 + 3.72 121 A Holy Cross 72-58 14 0 + 2.03 124 A Army 60-44 16 0 + 2.36 221 A Army 54-51 3 0 + 2.36 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Delaware (12-19, 93.3) 68-61 -6.64 4.32 0.01 0.98 8.48
3 A Longwood (20- 9, 93.5) 74-66 -6.37 4.59 0.01 0.98 9.00
3 A Florida (18-15, 95.8) 69-54 -4.11 6.85 0.01 0.98 13.42
3 A Rider ( 7-21, 91.3) 67-56 -8.59 2.37 0.01 0.98 4.66
3 H Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 56-69 -3.97 6.99 -0.01 0.98 -1.95
3 A Manhattan (12-20, 92.2) 59-52 -7.70 3.26 0.01 0.98 6.40
3 H Duquesne (10-20, 93.3) 67-69 -6.57 4.39 -0.01 0.98 -3.22
3 H Radford (23-13, 93.5) 84-97 -6.42 4.54 -0.01 0.98 -3.15
3 H Iona (21-12, 92.8) 61-67 -7.07 3.89 -0.01 0.98 -3.47
3 H So Florida (20-12, 95.4) 74-86 -4.47 6.49 -0.01 0.98 -2.19
3 A Boston Univ (12-20, 92.6) 77-64 -7.34 3.62 0.01 0.98 7.10
3 H Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 55-66 -5.80 5.16 -0.01 0.98 -2.84
3 A Bucknell (10-20, 92.4) 77-51 -7.49 3.47 0.01 0.98 6.81
3 A Lafayette (12-18, 92.5) 97-58 -7.37 3.59 0.01 0.98 7.04
3 A American ( 7-24, 92.0) 86-68 -7.88 3.08 0.01 0.98 6.06
3 A American ( 7-24, 92.0) 86-68 -7.88 3.08 0.01 0.98 6.06
3 A Holy Cross (23-11, 94.1) 72-58 -5.80 5.16 0.01 0.98 10.12
3 A Army (26- 7, 94.4) 60-44 -5.47 5.49 0.01 0.98 10.77
3 A Boston Univ (12-20, 92.6) 57-47 -7.34 3.62 0.01 0.98 7.10
3 A Loyola-MD (13-18, 92.8) 68-62 -7.13 3.83 0.01 0.98 7.52
3 A Lafayette (12-18, 92.5) 62-46 -7.37 3.59 0.01 0.98 7.04
3 A American ( 7-24, 92.0) 86-58 -7.88 3.08 0.01 0.98 6.06
3 A Bucknell (10-20, 92.4) 66-43 -7.49 3.47 0.01 0.98 6.81
3 A Colgate ( 6-25, 91.9) 66-38 -8.03 2.93 0.01 0.98 5.75
3 H Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 64-75 -6.49 4.47 -0.01 0.98 -3.18
3 A Army (26- 7, 94.4) 54-51 -5.47 5.49 0.01 0.98 10.77
3 A Colgate ( 6-25, 91.9) 73-63 -8.03 2.93 0.01 0.98 5.75
3 A Loyola-MD (13-18, 92.8) 72-50 -7.13 3.83 0.01 0.98 7.52
3 A Boston Univ (12-20, 92.6) 76-66 -7.34 3.62 0.01 0.98 7.10
3 H Lehigh (17-16, 93.4) 76-81 -6.49 4.47 -0.01 0.98 -3.18
3 H Harvard (20-12, 95.2) 52-73 -4.73 6.23 -0.01 0.98 -2.32
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141.86
|
winning pts = 167.3610 losing points = -25.5035
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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